-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
       log:  C:\feryal\intervention_effect_select_USDem1.log
  log type:  text
 opened on:  29 Sep 2005, 17:29:55

. heckman lgdpWB logenergy logirst lmilex lmilper year, select(W S);

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -11155.498  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9645.2906  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9275.5477  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -8400.9126  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -8292.9233  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -8289.1038  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -8289.0974  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -8289.0974  

Heckman selection model                         Number of obs      =      5541
(regression model with sample selection)        Censored obs       =      2222
                                                Uncensored obs     =      3319

                                                Wald chi2(5)       =   3452.10
Log likelihood = -8289.097                      Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
lgdpWB       |
   logenergy |   .5869234    .016729    35.08   0.000     .5541352    .6197115
     logirst |   .0903864   .0083819    10.78   0.000     .0739582    .1068146
      lmilex |   .0187705   .0092085     2.04   0.042     .0007222    .0368189
     lmilper |  -.6279759   .0174972   -35.89   0.000    -.6622698    -.593682
        year |   .0058065   .0019461     2.98   0.003     .0019923    .0096208
       _cons |  -6.623902   3.834504    -1.73   0.084    -14.13939    .8915867
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
select       |
           W |   .9956985   .0573086    17.37   0.000     .8833756    1.108021
           S |  -.4310403   .0480893    -8.96   0.000    -.5252936    -.336787
       _cons |   .0289969   .0389152     0.75   0.456    -.0472754    .1052693
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     /athrho |    -1.2108   .0560978   -21.58   0.000     -1.32075   -1.100851
    /lnsigma |   .2442476   .0203271    12.02   0.000     .2044072     .284088
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         rho |  -.8369194    .016805                     -.8669703   -.8008043
       sigma |    1.27666   .0259508                      1.226798     1.32855
      lambda |  -1.068462   .0408123                     -1.148452   -.9884711
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LR test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0):   chi2(1) =   206.67   Prob > chi2 = 0.0000
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. predict income, ycond;
(5573 missing values generated)

. gen incomemil=income*milyn;
(5573 missing values generated)

. keep if (usa~=.|un~=.|demmil~=.|aut~=.|thrdpar~=.)|(milyn==0)|(interven2==0)|(hostlev~=.);
(0 observations deleted)

. drop if thrdpar==.&(interven2==1);
(78 observations deleted)

. sort ccode year;

. egen CL_WAR_running=sum(civilwar);

. gen interventiondur=yrend-(yrstrt-1900);
(10195 missing values generated)

. /*keep if year<=xyz*/;
. regr interventiondur milyn un demmil usa if interven2==1;

      Source |       SS       df       MS              Number of obs =     120
-------------+------------------------------           F(  4,   115) =    4.64
       Model |  1193.34132     4   298.33533           Prob > F      =  0.0016
    Residual |  7386.25034   115  64.2282639           R-squared     =  0.1391
-------------+------------------------------           Adj R-squared =  0.1091
       Total |  8579.59167   119   72.097409           Root MSE      =  8.0143

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
interventi~r |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
       milyn |  -7.190212   1.905122    -3.77   0.000    -10.96389   -3.416532
          un |   .4942199   2.286534     0.22   0.829    -4.034965    5.023404
      demmil |  -.9115583   2.703665    -0.34   0.737    -6.266999    4.443883
         usa |   2.399505   2.541897     0.94   0.347    -2.635503    7.434512
       _cons |   3812.676   1.317535  2893.79   0.000     3810.066    3815.285
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. regr interventiondur milyn rus un demmil usa if interven2==1;

      Source |       SS       df       MS              Number of obs =     120
-------------+------------------------------           F(  5,   114) =    3.74
       Model |   1210.3516     5   242.07032           Prob > F      =  0.0036
    Residual |  7369.24007   114  64.6424567           R-squared     =  0.1411
-------------+------------------------------           Adj R-squared =  0.1034
       Total |  8579.59167   119   72.097409           Root MSE      =  8.0401

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
interventi~r |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
       milyn |  -7.463395   1.984061    -3.76   0.000    -11.39381   -3.532985
      russia |   1.127518   2.197995     0.51   0.609    -3.226694     5.48173
          un |   .7623129   2.352677     0.32   0.747    -3.898323    5.422949
      demmil |  -.9948829   2.717229    -0.37   0.715    -6.377692    4.387926
         usa |   2.438591   2.551218     0.96   0.341    -2.615351    7.492534
       _cons |   3812.676   1.321777  2884.51   0.000     3810.057    3815.294
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

.  xtreg d10dem milyn usa un demmil year  , fe i(ccode);

Fixed-effects (within) regression               Number of obs      =      4487
Group variable (i): ccode                       Number of groups   =       146

R-sq:  within  = 0.1007                         Obs per group: min =         1
       between = 0.0050                                        avg =      30.7
       overall = 0.0795                                        max =        44

                                                F(5,4336)          =     97.12
corr(u_i, Xb)  = -0.1332                        Prob > F           =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      d10dem |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
       milyn |  -.0518893   .0306094    -1.70   0.090    -.1118993    .0081207
         usa |    .111088    .049617     2.24   0.025     .0138132    .2083627
          un |  -.0028217   .0655266    -0.04   0.966    -.1312872    .1256439
      demmil |   -.058705   .0416774    -1.41   0.159    -.1404139     .023004
        year |   .0070623   .0003302    21.39   0.000      .006415    .0077097
       _cons |   -13.8695   .6498553   -21.34   0.000    -15.14355   -12.59545
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |   .1046496
     sigma_e |  .23034622
         rho |   .1710886   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
F test that all u_i=0:     F(145, 4336) =     4.91           Prob > F = 0.0000

. test usa+demmil=un;

 ( 1)  usa - un + demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4336) =    0.45
            Prob > F =    0.5046

. test demmil=un;

 ( 1) - un + demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4336) =    0.41
            Prob > F =    0.5242

.  test demmil=usa;

 ( 1) - usa + demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4336) =    4.35
            Prob > F =    0.0371

. xtreg d10W milyn usa un demmil year  , fe i(ccode);

Fixed-effects (within) regression               Number of obs      =      7111
Group variable (i): ccode                       Number of groups   =       191

R-sq:  within  = 0.0207                         Obs per group: min =        13
       between = 0.0139                                        avg =      37.2
       overall = 0.0170                                        max =        44

                                                F(5,6915)          =     29.28
corr(u_i, Xb)  = -0.1558                        Prob > F           =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        d10W |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
       milyn |   .0476329   .0248749     1.91   0.056    -.0011297    .0963954
         usa |   .1185094   .0400453     2.96   0.003     .0400084    .1970104
          un |  -.0211043   .0457021    -0.46   0.644    -.1106944    .0684858
      demmil |  -.0737941   .0359438    -2.05   0.040    -.1442549   -.0033333
        year |   .0022949    .000234     9.81   0.000     .0018361    .0027537
       _cons |  -4.498548   .4604802    -9.77   0.000     -5.40123   -3.595865
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |  .06275094
     sigma_e |    .215373
         rho |   .0782478   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
F test that all u_i=0:     F(190, 6915) =     2.93           Prob > F = 0.0000

. test year=0;

 ( 1)  year = 0

       F(  1,  6915) =   96.14
            Prob > F =    0.0000

. test year=year+milyn;

 ( 1) - milyn = 0

       F(  1,  6915) =    3.67
            Prob > F =    0.0555

. test year=year+milyn+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  6915) =   15.61
            Prob > F =    0.0001

. test year=year+milyn+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  6915) =    0.52
            Prob > F =    0.4697

. test year=year+milyn+un;

 ( 1) - milyn - un = 0

       F(  1,  6915) =    0.30
            Prob > F =    0.5852

. test year=year+milyn+usa+un+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - usa - un - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  6915) =    2.23
            Prob > F =    0.1355

. test usa+demmil=un;

 ( 1)  usa - un + demmil = 0

       F(  1,  6915) =    1.38
            Prob > F =    0.2395

. test un=demmil;

 ( 1)  un - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  6915) =    0.58
            Prob > F =    0.4468

.  test demmil=usa;

 ( 1) - usa + demmil = 0

       F(  1,  6915) =    7.77
            Prob > F =    0.0053

. xtreg d10parcomp2 milyn usa un demmil year  , fe i(ccode);

Fixed-effects (within) regression               Number of obs      =      4487
Group variable (i): ccode                       Number of groups   =       146

R-sq:  within  = 0.0937                         Obs per group: min =         1
       between = 0.0396                                        avg =      30.7
       overall = 0.0704                                        max =        44

                                                F(5,4336)          =     89.66
corr(u_i, Xb)  = -0.2814                        Prob > F           =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 d10parcomp2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
       milyn |   .0482989    .019603     2.46   0.014     .0098669    .0867308
         usa |   .0424975    .031776     1.34   0.181    -.0197998    .1047948
          un |   .0660013   .0419649     1.57   0.116    -.0162714    .1482741
      demmil |  -.1231061   .0266913    -4.61   0.000    -.1754346   -.0707775
        year |   .0042561   .0002115    20.13   0.000     .0038415    .0046707
       _cons |  -8.348826   .4161844   -20.06   0.000     -9.16476   -7.532892
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |  .07047926
     sigma_e |  .14751977
         rho |   .1858375   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
F test that all u_i=0:     F(145, 4336) =     5.14           Prob > F = 0.0000

. test year=0;

 ( 1)  year = 0

       F(  1,  4336) =  405.04
            Prob > F =    0.0000

. test year=year+milyn;

 ( 1) - milyn = 0

       F(  1,  4336) =    6.07
            Prob > F =    0.0138

. test year=year+milyn+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4336) =    2.34
            Prob > F =    0.1259

. test year=year+milyn+un;

 ( 1) - milyn - un = 0

       F(  1,  4336) =    6.34
            Prob > F =    0.0118

. test year=year+milyn+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4336) =    7.48
            Prob > F =    0.0063

. test year=year+milyn+usa+un+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - usa - un - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4336) =    0.63
            Prob > F =    0.4275

. test demmil=usa;

 ( 1) - usa + demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4336) =   10.09
            Prob > F =    0.0015

. test usa+demmil=un;

 ( 1)  usa - un + demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4336) =    7.66
            Prob > F =    0.0057

. test un=demmil;

 ( 1)  un - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4336) =   11.33
            Prob > F =    0.0008

.  xtreg d10dem demaut milyn usa un demmil year  , fe i(ccode);

Fixed-effects (within) regression               Number of obs      =      4487
Group variable (i): ccode                       Number of groups   =       146

R-sq:  within  = 0.4315                         Obs per group: min =         1
       between = 0.0739                                        avg =      30.7
       overall = 0.1330                                        max =        44

                                                F(6,4335)          =    548.32
corr(u_i, Xb)  = -0.8607                        Prob > F           =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      d10dem |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
      demaut |  -.8568868   .0170629   -50.22   0.000    -.8903388   -.8234348
       milyn |  -.0745644   .0243449    -3.06   0.002    -.1222928    -.026836
         usa |   .1755309   .0394765     4.45   0.000     .0981368    .2529249
          un |  -.0637952   .0521211    -1.22   0.221    -.1659792    .0383888
      demmil |  -.0453797   .0331431    -1.37   0.171     -.110357    .0195976
        year |   .0074481   .0002627    28.35   0.000     .0069331    .0079631
       _cons |  -14.23749   .5168191   -27.55   0.000    -15.25072   -13.22426
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |  .29655961
     sigma_e |  .18317209
         rho |  .72385086   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
F test that all u_i=0:     F(145, 4335) =    19.65           Prob > F = 0.0000

. test demaut+year=demaut+year+milyn+usa+un+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - usa - un - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    0.02
            Prob > F =    0.8763

. test usa+demmil=un;

 ( 1)  usa - un + demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    8.68
            Prob > F =    0.0032

. test demmil=un;

 ( 1) - un + demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    0.07
            Prob > F =    0.7919

. test demmil=usa;

 ( 1) - usa + demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =   11.64
            Prob > F =    0.0007

. xtreg d10W W milyn usa un demmil year  , fe i(ccode);

Fixed-effects (within) regression               Number of obs      =      7111
Group variable (i): ccode                       Number of groups   =       191

R-sq:  within  = 0.4092                         Obs per group: min =        13
       between = 0.0035                                        avg =      37.2
       overall = 0.1186                                        max =        44

                                                F(6,6914)          =    798.07
corr(u_i, Xb)  = -0.7808                        Prob > F           =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        d10W |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
           W |  -.8687328   .0128849   -67.42   0.000    -.8939911   -.8434746
       milyn |   .0000569   .0193356     0.00   0.998    -.0378469    .0379607
         usa |   .0896159   .0311099     2.88   0.004     .0286309     .150601
          un |  -.0623666   .0355065    -1.76   0.079    -.1319702     .007237
      demmil |  -.0655918   .0279212    -2.35   0.019     -.120326   -.0108576
        year |   .0024151   .0001818    13.28   0.000     .0020587    .0027715
       _cons |  -4.254029   .3577175   -11.89   0.000    -4.955265   -3.552793
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |  .20234061
     sigma_e |  .16730086
         rho |  .59394967   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
F test that all u_i=0:     F(190, 6914) =    21.00           Prob > F = 0.0000

. test year=0;

 ( 1)  year = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =  176.45
            Prob > F =    0.0000

. test year=year+milyn;

 ( 1) - milyn = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =    0.00
            Prob > F =    0.9977

. test year=year+milyn+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =    1.75
            Prob > F =    0.1854

. test year=year+milyn+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =    5.43
            Prob > F =    0.0198

. test year=year+milyn+un;

 ( 1) - milyn - un = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =    2.72
            Prob > F =    0.0991

. test year=year+milyn+usa+un+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - usa - un - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =    1.06
            Prob > F =    0.3022

. test usa+demmil=un;

 ( 1)  usa - un + demmil = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =    3.95
            Prob > F =    0.0469

. test un=demmil;

 ( 1)  un - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =    0.00
            Prob > F =    0.9522

. test demmil=usa;

 ( 1) - usa + demmil = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =    8.38
            Prob > F =    0.0038

.  xtreg d10parcomp2 parcomp2 milyn usa un demmil year  , fe i(ccode);

Fixed-effects (within) regression               Number of obs      =      4487
Group variable (i): ccode                       Number of groups   =       146

R-sq:  within  = 0.3935                         Obs per group: min =         1
       between = 0.1182                                        avg =      30.7
       overall = 0.1300                                        max =        44

                                                F(6,4335)          =    468.82
corr(u_i, Xb)  = -0.8728                        Prob > F           =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 d10parcomp2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    parcomp2 |  -.7964457   .0172039   -46.29   0.000    -.8301742   -.7627172
       milyn |   -.009941    .016087    -0.62   0.537    -.0414796    .0215977
         usa |   .0940708   .0260206     3.62   0.000     .0430572    .1450844
          un |  -.0256866   .0343895    -0.75   0.455    -.0931077    .0417345
      demmil |  -.0418935   .0219071    -1.91   0.056    -.0848426    .0010556
        year |   .0046798   .0001733    27.01   0.000     .0043401    .0050195
       _cons |  -8.720558   .3405846   -25.60   0.000    -9.388278   -8.052838
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |  .19066307
     sigma_e |  .12068927
         rho |  .71393589   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
F test that all u_i=0:     F(145, 4335) =    17.52           Prob > F = 0.0000

. test year=0;

 ( 1)  year = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =  729.59
            Prob > F =    0.0000

. test year=year+milyn;

 ( 1) - milyn = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    0.38
            Prob > F =    0.5366

. test year=year+milyn+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    5.93
            Prob > F =    0.0149

. test year=year+milyn+un;

 ( 1) - milyn - un = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    0.91
            Prob > F =    0.3393

. test year=year+milyn+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    5.36
            Prob > F =    0.0206

. test year=year+milyn+usa+un+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - usa - un - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    0.23
            Prob > F =    0.6338

. test usa+demmil=un;

 ( 1)  usa - un + demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    3.19
            Prob > F =    0.0743

. test un=demmil;

 ( 1)  un - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    0.12
            Prob > F =    0.7253

. test demmil=usa;

 ( 1) - usa + demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =   10.16
            Prob > F =    0.0014

. xtreg F10demaut  demaut milyn un usa demmil year  , fe i(ccode);

Fixed-effects (within) regression               Number of obs      =      4487
Group variable (i): ccode                       Number of groups   =       146

R-sq:  within  = 0.1832                         Obs per group: min =         1
       between = 0.3671                                        avg =      30.7
       overall = 0.2532                                        max =        44

                                                F(6,4335)          =    162.09
corr(u_i, Xb)  = 0.3150                         Prob > F           =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
   F10demaut |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
      demaut |   .1431132   .0170629     8.39   0.000     .1096612    .1765652
       milyn |  -.0745644   .0243449    -3.06   0.002    -.1222927    -.026836
          un |  -.0637952   .0521211    -1.22   0.221    -.1659792    .0383888
         usa |   .1755309   .0394765     4.45   0.000     .0981368    .2529249
      demmil |  -.0453797   .0331431    -1.37   0.171     -.110357    .0195976
        year |   .0074481   .0002627    28.35   0.000     .0069331    .0079631
       _cons |  -14.23749   .5168191   -27.55   0.000    -15.25072   -13.22426
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |  .29655961
     sigma_e |  .18317209
         rho |  .72385086   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
F test that all u_i=0:     F(145, 4335) =    19.65           Prob > F = 0.0000

. predict F10demEurope if demmil==1 & usa==0;
(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(9846 missing values generated)

. predict F10demAmerica if usa==1 & demmil==0;
(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(10499 missing values generated)

. predict F10demEuropenoUN if demmil==1&usa==0&un==0;
(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(9956 missing values generated)

. predict F10demAmericanoUN if usa==1 & un==0 & demmil==0;
(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(10499 missing values generated)

. test demaut+year=0;

 ( 1)  demaut + year = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =   77.91
            Prob > F =    0.0000

. test demaut+year=demaut+year+milyn;

 ( 1) - milyn = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    9.38
            Prob > F =    0.0022

. test demaut+year=demaut+year+milyn+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =   12.48
            Prob > F =    0.0004

. test demaut+year=demaut+year+milyn+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    4.49
            Prob > F =    0.0341

. test demaut+year=demaut+year+milyn+un;

 ( 1) - milyn - un = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    6.02
            Prob > F =    0.0142

. test demaut+year=demaut+year+milyn+un+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =   12.57
            Prob > F =    0.0004

. test demaut+year=demaut+year+milyn+un+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    0.02
            Prob > F =    0.8763

. test demmil=usa;

 ( 1) - usa + demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =   11.64
            Prob > F =    0.0007

. test (year*10)=(year*10)+milyn;

 ( 1) - milyn = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    9.38
            Prob > F =    0.0022

. test (year*10)=(year*10)+milyn+un;

 ( 1) - milyn - un = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    6.02
            Prob > F =    0.0142

. test (year*10)=(year*10)+milyn+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =   12.48
            Prob > F =    0.0004

. test (year*10)=(year*10)+milyn+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    4.49
            Prob > F =    0.0341

. test (year*10)=(year*10)+milyn+un+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =   12.57
            Prob > F =    0.0004

. test (year*10)=(year*10)+milyn+un+demmil+usa;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    0.02
            Prob > F =    0.8763

. xtreg F10W W milyn un usa demmil year  , fe i(ccode);

Fixed-effects (within) regression               Number of obs      =      7111
Group variable (i): ccode                       Number of groups   =       191

R-sq:  within  = 0.0423                         Obs per group: min =        13
       between = 0.5680                                        avg =      37.2
       overall = 0.2345                                        max =        44

                                                F(6,6914)          =     50.92
corr(u_i, Xb)  = 0.4473                         Prob > F           =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        F10W |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
           W |   .1312672   .0128849    10.19   0.000     .1060089    .1565254
       milyn |   .0000569   .0193356     0.00   0.998    -.0378469    .0379607
          un |  -.0623666   .0355065    -1.76   0.079    -.1319702     .007237
         usa |   .0896159   .0311099     2.88   0.004     .0286309     .150601
      demmil |  -.0655918   .0279212    -2.35   0.019     -.120326   -.0108576
        year |   .0024151   .0001818    13.28   0.000     .0020587    .0027715
       _cons |  -4.254029   .3577175   -11.89   0.000    -4.955265   -3.552793
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |  .20234061
     sigma_e |  .16730086
         rho |  .59394967   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
F test that all u_i=0:     F(190, 6914) =    21.00           Prob > F = 0.0000

. predict F10WEurope if demmil==1 & usa==0;
(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(9831 missing values generated)

. predict F10WAmerica if usa==1 & demmil==0;
(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(10499 missing values generated)

. predict F10WEuropenoUN if demmil==1&usa==0&un==0;
(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(9953 missing values generated)

. predict F10WAmericanoUN if usa==1 & un==0 & demmil==0;
(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(10499 missing values generated)

. test W+year=0;

 ( 1)  W + year = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =  107.65
            Prob > F =    0.0000

. test W+year=W+year+milyn;

 ( 1) - milyn = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =    0.00
            Prob > F =    0.9977

. test W+year=W+year+milyn+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =    1.75
            Prob > F =    0.1854

. test W+year=W+year+milyn+un;

 ( 1) - milyn - un = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =    2.72
            Prob > F =    0.0991

. test W+year=W+year+milyn+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =    5.43
            Prob > F =    0.0198

. test W+year=W+year+milyn+un+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =   16.54
            Prob > F =    0.0000

. test W+year=W+year+milyn+un+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =    1.06
            Prob > F =    0.3022

. test demmil=usa;

 ( 1) - usa + demmil = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =    8.38
            Prob > F =    0.0038

. test (year*10)=(year*10)+milyn;

 ( 1) - milyn = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =    0.00
            Prob > F =    0.9977

. test (year*10)=(year*10)+milyn+un;

 ( 1) - milyn - un = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =    2.72
            Prob > F =    0.0991

. test (year*10)=(year*10)+milyn+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =    5.43
            Prob > F =    0.0198

. test (year*10)=(year*10)+milyn+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =    1.75
            Prob > F =    0.1854

. test (year*10)=(year*10)+milyn+un+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =   16.54
            Prob > F =    0.0000

. test (year*10)=(year*10)+milyn+un+demmil+usa;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  6914) =    1.06
            Prob > F =    0.3022

. xtreg F10parcomp2 parcomp2 milyn un usa demmil year  , fe i(ccode);

Fixed-effects (within) regression               Number of obs      =      4487
Group variable (i): ccode                       Number of groups   =       146

R-sq:  within  = 0.1896                         Obs per group: min =         1
       between = 0.6188                                        avg =      30.7
       overall = 0.4098                                        max =        44

                                                F(6,4335)          =    169.08
corr(u_i, Xb)  = 0.4989                         Prob > F           =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 F10parcomp2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    parcomp2 |   .2035543   .0172039    11.83   0.000     .1698258    .2372828
       milyn |   -.009941    .016087    -0.62   0.537    -.0414796    .0215977
          un |  -.0256866   .0343895    -0.75   0.455    -.0931077    .0417345
         usa |   .0940708   .0260206     3.62   0.000     .0430572    .1450844
      demmil |  -.0418935   .0219071    -1.91   0.056    -.0848426    .0010556
        year |   .0046798   .0001733    27.01   0.000     .0043401    .0050195
       _cons |  -8.720558   .3405846   -25.60   0.000    -9.388278   -8.052838
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |  .19066307
     sigma_e |  .12068927
         rho |  .71393589   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
F test that all u_i=0:     F(145, 4335) =    17.52           Prob > F = 0.0000

. predict F10parEurope if demmil==1 & usa==0;
(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(9846 missing values generated)

. predict F10parAmerica if usa==1 & demmil==0;
(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(10499 missing values generated)

. predict F10parEuropenoUN if demmil==1&usa==0&un==0;
(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(9956 missing values generated)

. predict F10parAmericanoUN if usa==1 & un==0 & demmil==0 ;
(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(10499 missing values generated)

. test parcomp2+year=0;

 ( 1)  parcomp2 + year = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =  146.64
            Prob > F =    0.0000

. test parcomp2+year=parcomp2+year+milyn;

 ( 1) - milyn = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    0.38
            Prob > F =    0.5366

. test parcomp2+year=parcomp2+year+milyn+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    5.36
            Prob > F =    0.0206

. test parcomp2+year=parcomp2+year+milyn+un;

 ( 1) - milyn - un = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    0.91
            Prob > F =    0.3393

. test parcomp2+year=parcomp2+year+milyn+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    5.93
            Prob > F =    0.0149

. test parcomp2+year=parcomp2+year+milyn+un+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    5.15
            Prob > F =    0.0233

. test parcomp2+year=parcomp2+year+milyn+un+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    0.23
            Prob > F =    0.6338

. test demmil=usa;

 ( 1) - usa + demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =   10.16
            Prob > F =    0.0014

. test (year*10)=(year*10)+milyn;

 ( 1) - milyn = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    0.38
            Prob > F =    0.5366

. test (year*10)=(year*10)+milyn+un;

 ( 1) - milyn - un = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    0.91
            Prob > F =    0.3393

. test (year*10)=(year*10)+milyn+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    5.36
            Prob > F =    0.0206

. test (year*10)=(year*10)+milyn+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    5.93
            Prob > F =    0.0149

. test (year*10)=(year*10)+milyn+un+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    5.15
            Prob > F =    0.0233

. test (year*10)=(year*10)+milyn+un+demmil+usa;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  4335) =    0.23
            Prob > F =    0.6338

. /**************************   5 Year Tests   *************************************/;
. xtreg F5demaut  demaut milyn un usa demmil year  , fe i(ccode);

Fixed-effects (within) regression               Number of obs      =      5270
Group variable (i): ccode                       Number of groups   =       165

R-sq:  within  = 0.3615                         Obs per group: min =         3
       between = 0.8873                                        avg =      31.9
       overall = 0.7530                                        max =        49

                                                F(6,5099)          =    481.14
corr(u_i, Xb)  = 0.7412                         Prob > F           =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    F5demaut |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
      demaut |    .523847   .0124308    42.14   0.000     .4994772    .5482168
       milyn |  -.0405859   .0191186    -2.12   0.034    -.0780666   -.0031051
          un |  -.0730597   .0406354    -1.80   0.072    -.1527224    .0066031
         usa |   .1316362   .0319286     4.12   0.000     .0690424      .19423
      demmil |  -.0286351   .0285265    -1.00   0.316    -.0845592     .027289
        year |   .0043286    .000195    22.19   0.000     .0039463    .0047109
       _cons |  -8.298174   .3831799   -21.66   0.000    -9.049371   -7.546977
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |  .17406177
     sigma_e |  .15947244
         rho |  .54365811   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
F test that all u_i=0:     F(164, 5099) =     9.89           Prob > F = 0.0000

. test demaut+year=0;

 ( 1)  demaut + year = 0

       F(  1,  5099) = 1815.95
            Prob > F =    0.0000

. test demaut+year=demaut+year+milyn;

 ( 1) - milyn = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    4.51
            Prob > F =    0.0338

. test demaut+year=demaut+year+milyn+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    6.04
            Prob > F =    0.0140

. test demaut+year=demaut+year+milyn+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    9.45
            Prob > F =    0.0021

. test demaut+year=demaut+year+milyn+un;

 ( 1) - milyn - un = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    6.51
            Prob > F =    0.0107

. test demaut+year=demaut+year+milyn+un+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =   12.16
            Prob > F =    0.0005

. test demaut+year=demaut+year+milyn+un+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    0.07
            Prob > F =    0.7946

. test demmil=usa;

 ( 1) - usa + demmil = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    8.59
            Prob > F =    0.0034

. test (year*5)=(year*5)+milyn;

 ( 1) - milyn = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    4.51
            Prob > F =    0.0338

. test (year*5)=(year*5)+milyn+un;

 ( 1) - milyn - un = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    6.51
            Prob > F =    0.0107

. test (year*5)=(year*5)+milyn+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    6.04
            Prob > F =    0.0140

. test (year*5)=(year*5)+milyn+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    9.45
            Prob > F =    0.0021

. test (year*5)=(year*5)+milyn+un+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =   12.16
            Prob > F =    0.0005

. test (year*5)=(year*5)+milyn+un+demmil+usa;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    0.07
            Prob > F =    0.7946

. xtreg F5W W milyn un usa demmil year  , fe i(ccode);

Fixed-effects (within) regression               Number of obs      =      8081
Group variable (i): ccode                       Number of groups   =       191

R-sq:  within  = 0.2098                         Obs per group: min =        18
       between = 0.9690                                        avg =      42.3
       overall = 0.6067                                        max =        49

                                                F(6,7884)          =    348.77
corr(u_i, Xb)  = 0.7354                         Prob > F           =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
         F5W |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
           W |   .4481851   .0104222    43.00   0.000     .4277548    .4686154
       milyn |   -.000522   .0152531    -0.03   0.973    -.0304222    .0293781
          un |  -.0444857   .0266034    -1.67   0.095    -.0966355    .0076641
         usa |   .0569332   .0252931     2.25   0.024      .007352    .1065144
      demmil |  -.0401612   .0234358    -1.71   0.087    -.0861015    .0057791
        year |   .0015302   .0001386    11.04   0.000     .0012584    .0018019
       _cons |  -2.695191   .2725192    -9.89   0.000    -3.229401   -2.160981
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |  .12549424
     sigma_e |  .15091068
         rho |  .40881736   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
F test that all u_i=0:     F(190, 7884) =    11.22           Prob > F = 0.0000

. test W+year=0;

 ( 1)  W + year = 0

       F(  1,  7884) = 1866.12
            Prob > F =    0.0000

. test W+year=W+year+milyn;

 ( 1) - milyn = 0

       F(  1,  7884) =    0.00
            Prob > F =    0.9727

. test W+year=W+year+milyn+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  7884) =    1.18
            Prob > F =    0.2768

. test W+year=W+year+milyn+un;

 ( 1) - milyn - un = 0

       F(  1,  7884) =    2.49
            Prob > F =    0.1149

. test W+year=W+year+milyn+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  7884) =    3.09
            Prob > F =    0.0786

. test W+year=W+year+milyn+un+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  7884) =   12.96
            Prob > F =    0.0003

. test W+year=W+year+milyn+un+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  7884) =    1.03
            Prob > F =    0.3106

. test demmil=usa;

 ( 1) - usa + demmil = 0

       F(  1,  7884) =    4.75
            Prob > F =    0.0294

. test (year*5)=(year*5)+milyn;

 ( 1) - milyn = 0

       F(  1,  7884) =    0.00
            Prob > F =    0.9727

. test (year*5)=(year*5)+milyn+un;

 ( 1) - milyn - un = 0

       F(  1,  7884) =    2.49
            Prob > F =    0.1149

. test (year*5)=(year*5)+milyn+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  7884) =    3.09
            Prob > F =    0.0786

. test (year*5)=(year*5)+milyn+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  7884) =    1.18
            Prob > F =    0.2768

. test (year*5)=(year*5)+milyn+un+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  7884) =   12.96
            Prob > F =    0.0003

. test (year*5)=(year*5)+milyn+un+demmil+usa;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  7884) =    1.03
            Prob > F =    0.3106

. xtreg F5parcomp2 parcomp2 milyn un usa demmil year  , fe i(ccode);

Fixed-effects (within) regression               Number of obs      =      5270
Group variable (i): ccode                       Number of groups   =       165

R-sq:  within  = 0.4025                         Obs per group: min =         3
       between = 0.9378                                        avg =      31.9
       overall = 0.8017                                        max =        49

                                                F(6,5099)          =    572.40
corr(u_i, Xb)  = 0.7836                         Prob > F           =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  F5parcomp2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    parcomp2 |   .5705185   .0122069    46.74   0.000     .5465878    .5944493
       milyn |  -.0101124   .0122502    -0.83   0.409     -.034128    .0139032
          un |  -.0406698   .0260137    -1.56   0.118    -.0916678    .0103281
         usa |   .0677929   .0204254     3.32   0.001     .0277504    .1078355
      demmil |  -.0229598    .018262    -1.26   0.209     -.058761    .0128415
        year |   .0027466   .0001248    22.01   0.000     .0025019    .0029913
       _cons |  -5.149462   .2445893   -21.05   0.000    -5.628962   -4.669962
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |  .10489551
     sigma_e |  .10196924
         rho |    .514143   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
F test that all u_i=0:     F(164, 5099) =     8.47           Prob > F = 0.0000

. test parcomp2+year=0;

 ( 1)  parcomp2 + year = 0

       F(  1,  5099) = 2214.22
            Prob > F =    0.0000

. test parcomp2+year=parcomp2+year+milyn;

 ( 1) - milyn = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    0.68
            Prob > F =    0.4091

. test parcomp2+year=parcomp2+year+milyn+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    3.38
            Prob > F =    0.0662

. test parcomp2+year=parcomp2+year+milyn+un;

 ( 1) - milyn - un = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    3.16
            Prob > F =    0.0754

. test parcomp2+year=parcomp2+year+milyn+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    7.11
            Prob > F =    0.0077

. test parcomp2+year=parcomp2+year+milyn+un+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    7.99
            Prob > F =    0.0047

. test parcomp2+year=parcomp2+year+milyn+un+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    0.05
            Prob > F =    0.8200

. test demmil=usa;

 ( 1) - usa + demmil = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    6.74
            Prob > F =    0.0095

. test (year*5)=(year*5)+milyn;

 ( 1) - milyn = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    0.68
            Prob > F =    0.4091

. test (year*5)=(year*5)+milyn+un;

 ( 1) - milyn - un = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    3.16
            Prob > F =    0.0754

. test (year*5)=(year*5)+milyn+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    3.38
            Prob > F =    0.0662

. test (year*5)=(year*5)+milyn+usa+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    7.11
            Prob > F =    0.0077

. test (year*5)=(year*5)+milyn+un+demmil;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    7.99
            Prob > F =    0.0047

. test (year*5)=(year*5)+milyn+un+demmil+usa;

 ( 1) - milyn - un - usa - demmil = 0

       F(  1,  5099) =    0.05
            Prob > F =    0.8200

. sum F10* if milyn==1;

    Variable |       Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+--------------------------------------------------------
   F10demaut |       642    .5080997    .3522889          0          1
        F10W |       725    .5203448     .297056          0          1
      F10AUT |       351    .5441595    .3528072          0          1
 F10parcomp2 |       642    .6061786    .2278911   .3333333          1
F10demEurope |       200     .457359    .0946578     .22147   .6318172
-------------+--------------------------------------------------------
F10demAmer~a |         0
F10demEuro~N |        90    .4754132    .0787883   .3227983   .6318172
F10demAmer~N |         0
  F10WEurope |       223    .5027168    .0488314   .3869186    .606693
 F10WAmerica |         0
-------------+--------------------------------------------------------
F10WEurope~N |       101    .5256107    .0416657   .4555358    .606693
F10WAmeric~N |         0
F10parEurope |       200    .6179591    .0688558   .4655487    .765044
F10parAmer~a |         0
F10parEuro~N |        90    .6241893    .0505418   .5193141   .7228792
-------------+--------------------------------------------------------
F10parAmer~N |         0

. sort ccode year;

. replace demmil=0;
(1327 real changes made)

. replace demmil=1 if milyn==1&((thrdpar==200|thrdpar==220|thrdpar==211|thrdpar==255|
> thrdpar==385|thrdpar==900|thrdpar==920|thrdpar==640|thrdpar==750));
(23 real changes made)

. replace demmil=1 if hostlev~=.&hostlev>1&((ccode==200|ccode==220|ccode==211|ccode==255|
> ccode==385|ccode==900|ccode==920|ccode==640|ccode==750));
(118 real changes made)

. by ccode: replace demmil=sum(demmil);
(829 real changes made)

. by ccode: replace demmil=1 if demmil>0 & demmil~=.;
(504 real changes made)

. sum demaut if usa==1 & demmil==0 & milyn==1 , detail;

     Polity: (democracy score - autocracy score +10)/20
-------------------------------------------------------------
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%          .05            .05
 5%          .05            .05
10%          .15            .05       Obs                 292
25%          .15            .05       Sum of Wgt.         292

50%          .35                      Mean           .4626712
                        Largest       Std. Dev.       .294731
75%          .75            .95
90%           .9            .95       Variance       .0868664
95%           .9            .95       Skewness       .1854784
99%          .95            .95       Kurtosis       1.534826

. sum demaut if usa==0 & demmil==1 &milyn==1, detail;

     Polity: (democracy score - autocracy score +10)/20
-------------------------------------------------------------
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%            0              0
 5%            0              0
10%         .025              0       Obs                 200
25%          .05              0       Sum of Wgt.         200

50%           .7                      Mean              .5255
                        Largest       Std. Dev.      .3891748
75%           .9              1
90%            1              1       Variance        .151457
95%            1              1       Skewness      -.1667704
99%            1              1       Kurtosis       1.375664

. sum W if usa==1 & demmil==0 & milyn==1 , detail;

                   Winning Coalition size
-------------------------------------------------------------
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%            0              0
 5%            0              0
10%            0              0       Obs                 338
25%          .25              0       Sum of Wgt.         338

50%           .5                      Mean           .4741124
                        Largest       Std. Dev.      .2687259
75%          .75            .75
90%          .75            .75       Variance       .0722136
95%          .75            .75       Skewness      -.3389744
99%          .75            .75       Kurtosis       1.705974

. sum W if usa==0 & demmil==1 &milyn==1, detail;

                   Winning Coalition size
-------------------------------------------------------------
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%            0              0
 5%            0              0
10%            0              0       Obs                 223
25%          .25              0       Sum of Wgt.         223

50%          .75                      Mean           .5246637
                        Largest       Std. Dev.       .310219
75%          .75              1
90%          .75              1       Variance       .0962358
95%            1              1       Skewness      -.3009891
99%            1              1       Kurtosis       1.859395

. sum parcomp2 if usa==1 & demmil==0 & milyn==1 , detail;

                          parcomp2
-------------------------------------------------------------
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%     .3333333       .3333333
 5%     .3333333       .3333333
10%     .3333333       .3333333       Obs                 292
25%     .3333333       .3333333       Sum of Wgt.         292

50%     .6666667                      Mean           .5702055
                        Largest       Std. Dev.      .1678618
75%     .6666667       .8333333
90%     .8333333       .8333333       Variance       .0281776
95%     .8333333       .8333333       Skewness      -.2892696
99%     .8333333       .8333333       Kurtosis       1.810253

. sum parcomp2 if usa==0 & demmil==1 &milyn==1, detail;

                          parcomp2
-------------------------------------------------------------
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%     .3333333       .3333333
 5%     .3333333       .3333333
10%     .3333333       .3333333       Obs                 200
25%     .3333333       .3333333       Sum of Wgt.         200

50%           .5                      Mean           .5958333
                        Largest       Std. Dev.      .2463794
75%     .6666667              1
90%            1              1       Variance       .0607028
95%            1              1       Skewness       .4753461
99%            1              1       Kurtosis       1.911386

. sum F10demaut if usa==1 & demmil==0 & milyn==1 , detail;

                          F10demaut
-------------------------------------------------------------
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%          .05            .05
 5%          .05            .05
10%           .1            .05       Obs                 205
25%          .25            .05       Sum of Wgt.         205

50%           .6                      Mean            .537561
                        Largest       Std. Dev.      .3004962
75%           .8            .95
90%           .9            .95       Variance       .0902979
95%           .9            .95       Skewness      -.2604325
99%          .95            .95       Kurtosis       1.598055

. sum F10demaut if usa==0 & demmil==1 &milyn==1, detail;

                          F10demaut
-------------------------------------------------------------
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%            0              0
 5%            0              0
10%          .05              0       Obs                 164
25%         .125              0       Sum of Wgt.         164

50%           .7                      Mean           .5542683
                        Largest       Std. Dev.      .3765114
75%           .9              1
90%            1              1       Variance       .1417608
95%            1              1       Skewness      -.2950538
99%            1              1       Kurtosis       1.493212

. sum F10W if usa==1 & demmil==0 & milyn==1 , detail;

                            F10W
-------------------------------------------------------------
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%            0              0
 5%            0              0
10%          .25              0       Obs                 237
25%          .25              0       Sum of Wgt.         237

50%          .75                      Mean           .5200422
                        Largest       Std. Dev.      .2631483
75%          .75            .75
90%          .75            .75       Variance        .069247
95%          .75            .75       Skewness      -.5753155
99%          .75            .75       Kurtosis       1.842672

. sum F10W if usa==0 & demmil==1 &milyn==1, detail;

                            F10W
-------------------------------------------------------------
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%            0              0
 5%            0              0
10%            0              0       Obs                 169
25%          .25              0       Sum of Wgt.         169

50%          .75                      Mean           .5488166
                        Largest       Std. Dev.      .2966556
75%          .75              1
90%          .75              1       Variance       .0880045
95%            1              1       Skewness      -.5746665
99%            1              1       Kurtosis        2.07255

. sum F10parcomp2 if usa==1 & demmil==0 & milyn==1 , detail;

                         F10parcomp2
-------------------------------------------------------------
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%     .3333333       .3333333
 5%     .3333333       .3333333
10%     .3333333       .3333333       Obs                 205
25%           .5       .3333333       Sum of Wgt.         205

50%     .6666667                      Mean           .6065041
                        Largest       Std. Dev.      .1605443
75%     .6666667       .8333333
90%     .8333333       .8333333       Variance       .0257745
95%     .8333333       .8333333       Skewness      -.5463365
99%     .8333333       .8333333       Kurtosis       2.294576

. sum F10parcomp2 if usa==0 & demmil==1 &milyn==1, detail;

                         F10parcomp2
-------------------------------------------------------------
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%     .3333333       .3333333
 5%     .3333333       .3333333
10%     .3333333       .3333333       Obs                 164
25%     .3333333       .3333333       Sum of Wgt.         164

50%     .6666667                      Mean           .6158537
                        Largest       Std. Dev.      .2395591
75%     .6666667              1
90%            1              1       Variance       .0573886
95%            1              1       Skewness       .3453584
99%            1              1       Kurtosis       1.917611

. sum d10dem if usa==1 & demmil==0 & milyn==1 ;

    Variable |       Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+--------------------------------------------------------
      d10dem |       168    .1306548    .3309361        -.7        .85

.  sum d10dem if demmil==1 & usa==0 & milyn==1;

    Variable |       Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+--------------------------------------------------------
      d10dem |       121    .0243802    .2824827       -.75        .75

. sum d10W if usa==1 & demmil==0 & milyn==1 ;

    Variable |       Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+--------------------------------------------------------
        d10W |       209    .0801435    .2949503       -.75        .75

.  sum d10W if demmil==1 & usa==0 & milyn==1;

    Variable |       Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+--------------------------------------------------------
        d10W |       140    .0071429    .3042606       -.75        .75

. sum d10par if usa==1 & demmil==0 & milyn==1;

    Variable |       Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+--------------------------------------------------------
 d10parcomp2 |       168    .0585317    .1653037  -.3333333   .3333333

.  sum d10par if demmil==1 & usa==0 & milyn==1;

    Variable |       Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+--------------------------------------------------------
 d10parcomp2 |       121    .0179063    .1691505  -.3333333   .3333333

. xtreg d10dem milyn usa demmil year if demaut>=.7 & un==0 & demaut~=., fe i(ccode);

Fixed-effects (within) regression               Number of obs      =      1541
Group variable (i): ccode                       Number of groups   =        76

R-sq:  within  = 0.0654                         Obs per group: min =         1
       between = 0.0009                                        avg =      20.3
       overall = 0.0107                                        max =        44

                                                F(4,1461)          =     25.57
corr(u_i, Xb)  = -0.4170                        Prob > F           =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      d10dem |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
       milyn |  -.4247816   .0426384    -9.96   0.000    -.5084206   -.3411425
         usa |   .3086011   .0577716     5.34   0.000      .195277    .4219252
      demmil |    .048778   .0270789     1.80   0.072    -.0043398    .1018957
        year |   .0001641   .0002629     0.62   0.533    -.0003515    .0006797
       _cons |  -.3643022   .5168885    -0.70   0.481    -1.378225    .6496207
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |    .281969
     sigma_e |  .10867672
         rho |  .87066363   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
F test that all u_i=0:     F(75, 1461) =    39.44            Prob > F = 0.0000

. predict chdem7dem if demmil==1 & usa==0 & milyn==1;
(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(10227 missing values generated)

. predict chdem7usa if demmil==0 & usa==1 & milyn==1;
(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(10074 missing values generated)

. xtreg d10dem milyn usa demmil year if demaut<=.35 & un==0 & demaut~=., fe i(ccode);

Fixed-effects (within) regression               Number of obs      =      2467
Group variable (i): ccode                       Number of groups   =       105

R-sq:  within  = 0.2567                         Obs per group: min =         3
       between = 0.0121                                        avg =      23.5
       overall = 0.1392                                        max =        42

                                                F(4,2358)          =    203.55
corr(u_i, Xb)  = -0.2157                        Prob > F           =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      d10dem |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
       milyn |  -.1236485   .0305574    -4.05   0.000    -.1835707   -.0637263
         usa |   .0950191   .0481575     1.97   0.049     .0005837    .1894545
      demmil |   -.000118   .0605666    -0.00   0.998    -.1188874    .1186513
        year |   .0115007   .0004107    28.00   0.000     .0106953    .0123061
       _cons |  -22.54437   .8090908   -27.86   0.000    -24.13098   -20.95777
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |  .20197314
     sigma_e |  .18268265
         rho |  .55002419   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
F test that all u_i=0:     F(104, 2358) =    15.94           Prob > F = 0.0000

. predict chdem35dem if demmil==1 & usa==0 & milyn==1;
(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(10227 missing values generated)

. predict chdem35usa if demmil==0 & usa==1 & milyn==1;
(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(10074 missing values generated)

. xtreg d10dem milyn usa demmil year if demaut<.7 & demaut>.35 & un==0 & demaut~=., fe i(ccode);

Fixed-effects (within) regression               Number of obs      =       404
Group variable (i): ccode                       Number of groups   =        53

R-sq:  within  = 0.0138                         Obs per group: min =         1
       between = 0.1956                                        avg =       7.6
       overall = 0.0785                                        max =        26

                                                F(3,348)           =      1.62
corr(u_i, Xb)  = 0.1782                         Prob > F           =    0.1849

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      d10dem |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
       milyn |  -.0506553   .1941071    -0.26   0.794    -.4324259    .3311154
         usa |   .0566589   .2088617     0.27   0.786    -.3541311    .4674489
      demmil |  (dropped)
        year |   .0033473   .0016415     2.04   0.042     .0001188    .0065757
       _cons |  -6.677663   3.225381    -2.07   0.039    -13.02136     -.33397
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |   .2910868
     sigma_e |    .186398
         rho |   .7091944   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
F test that all u_i=0:     F(52, 348) =    10.60             Prob > F = 0.0000

. predict chdemmiddem if demmil==1 & usa==0 & milyn==1;
(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(10227 missing values generated)

. predict chdemmidusa if demmil==0 & usa==1 & milyn==1;
(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(10074 missing values generated)

. gen USA=0;

.  replace USA=chdem35usa if demaut<=.35;
(3283 real changes made, 3133 to missing)

.  replace USA=chdem7usa if demaut>=.7 & demaut~=.;
(2471 real changes made, 2386 to missing)

.  replace USA=chdemmidusa if demaut>.35&demaut<.7;
(630 real changes made, 573 to missing)

. gen Democrat=0;

.  replace Democrat=chdem35dem if demaut<=.35;
(3283 real changes made, 3203 to missing)

.  replace Democrat=chdem7dem if demaut>=.7 & demaut~=.;
(2471 real changes made, 2407 to missing)

.  replace Democrat=chdemmiddem if demaut>.35&demaut<.7;
(630 real changes made, 574 to missing)

. graph bar USA Democrat, over(demaut);

. log close;
       log:  C:\feryal\intervention_effect_select_USDem1.log
  log type:  text
 closed on:  29 Sep 2005, 17:30:41
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
